Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 6.973185 7.681463 8.449239 9.346453 10.370073 11.506094 12.868583
2025-12-28 6.439506 7.472357 8.670596 10.176234 12.035684 14.280834 17.233763
2026-01-04 5.875093 7.054299 8.485519 10.375378 12.843159 16.010768 20.476140
2026-01-11 5.277173 6.497986 8.030358 10.131414 12.996069 16.855806 22.613189
2026-01-18 4.991343 6.290991 7.974284 10.366129 13.766036 18.570958 26.158744
2026-01-25 4.610978 5.918473 7.654253 10.191963 13.923196 19.408388 28.497749
2026-02-01 4.303570 5.614277 7.393226 10.062087 14.109870 20.283388 30.993287
2026-02-08 4.028104 5.330546 7.133216 9.900866 14.218139 21.029026 33.362891
2026-02-15 3.773531 5.056860 6.864086 9.696536 14.228406 21.602290 35.500036
2026-02-22 3.589159 4.870026 6.705085 9.641255 14.461414 22.557251 38.465915
2026-03-01 3.351060 4.590268 6.389152 9.313682 14.211716 22.646389 39.783255
2026-03-08 3.102958 4.282445 6.012617 8.861492 13.710258 22.231251 40.025476
2026-03-15 2.933634 4.088751 5.806591 8.683188 13.685271 22.718928 42.303484
2026-03-22 2.992804 4.242640 6.146149 9.429131 15.359296 26.609007 52.739985
2026-03-29 2.920693 4.189006 6.152710 9.610038 16.025574 28.634728 59.453732
2026-04-05 2.770797 4.005320 5.938057 9.388884 15.911778 29.051170 62.344146
2026-04-12 2.718843 3.973482 5.968503 9.601636 16.652133 31.366579 70.674500
2026-04-19 2.599911 3.827896 5.801249 9.443782 16.641854 32.040423 74.751753
2026-04-26 2.496754 3.702956 5.661646 9.326019 16.700049 32.874980 79.508468
2026-05-03 2.395524 3.576522 5.512654 9.179778 16.684382 33.535052 83.931199
2026-05-10 2.294094 3.445388 5.348919 8.994339 16.568345 33.940214 87.683027
2026-05-17 2.221531 3.359265 5.258975 8.944150 16.737826 35.068684 94.130458
2026-05-24 2.113157 3.208653 5.048807 8.646590 16.338818 34.714973 95.452696